Where did the more than 5 million people who left Wuhan go? Big data tell you

On the evening of the 26th, the Information Office of the Hubei Provincial People’s Government held a press conference on the prevention and control of the pneumonia outbreak of the new coronavirus infection. Wuhan Mayor Zhou Xianwang said today that more than 5 million people have left Wuhan because of the Spring Festival and the epidemic, and 9 million people have stayed in the city. Where exactly did these 5 million people go? According to a previous report by China Business News, it is also extremely common for Wuhan’s foreign population to return to their hometowns for the Chinese New Year, as Wuhan is a city with an inflow of foreigners. According to the “2018 Spring Festival Statistics” released by the Wuhan Culture and Tourism Bureau, Wuhan sent 2,238,200 people during the Spring Festival in 2018. Every year, nearly half of the population leaves the city to spend New Year’s Eve away from home. According to the statistics, the popular source cities for Wuhan’s population are Xinyang, which accounts for 1.54% of Wuhan’s total inflow; Chongqing, which accounts for 1.4% of Wuhan’s total inflow; and Nanyang, which accounts for 1.13% of Wuhan’s total inflow. The top 10 source cities are: Zhumadian, Guangzhou, Zhoukou, Beijing, Shangqiu, Shenzhen, and Changsha. (The above information is from Baidu Map Big Data) Among the top 10, Xinyang, Nanyang, Zhumadian, Zhoukou and Shangqiu are all from Henan Province. Therefore, many of the more than 5 million people leaving Wuhan are returning to their hometowns, especially the above-mentioned cities. The migration big data from Baidu Map Huiyuan cited by the First Financial – New Tier Cities Institute also shows that between January 10 and January 22 during the Spring Festival (before Wuhan was closed), between 60% and 70% of the people leaving Wuhan every day went to other cities in Hubei Province, followed by Henan Province, Hunan Province, Anhui Province, Chongqing City, and Jiangxi Province. From the city dimension, besides cities in Hubei, a higher percentage of people traveled from Wuhan to Xinyang, Chongqing, Changsha, Beijing, Shanghai, and Zhengzhou. And in Hubei province, Xiaogan and Huanggang are the two cities that receive the highest proportion of Wuhan’s hometown traffic. Among those who leave Wuhan, an average of 13.03% and 12.64% of them arrive at Xiaogan and Huanggang from Wuhan out of the city every day. Also from the Wuhan outbound flight data in the past period, it is possible to have more insight into where 5 million people go. According to the capacity data of Wuhan flights from 12.30-1.22 for domestic departures, international departures, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan departures, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chengdu, Haikou, Kunming, Xiamen, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Sanya and Nanning are the top 10 cities for flights out of Wuhan. According to the statistics of the number of seats out of Hong Kong, it can be seen that in the 20 days before the closure of Wuhan, a maximum of more than 60,000 people can fly from Wuhan to Beijing, more than 50,000 people flew from Wuhan to Guangzhou and Chengdu respectively. In terms of Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, the largest number of flights out of Wuhan is from Hong Kong, followed by Macau and Taiwan, although these cities accept no more than 10,000 Wuhaners. Internationally, the largest number of flights out of Wuhan is Bangkok, Thailand, with up to 10,000 people flying from Wuhan to Bangkok, the second largest number of flights out is Singapore, and the third largest is Tokyo, Japan. Content source: Hubei Provincial People’s Government